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About Jim Picerno

James Picerno is editor of CapitalSpectator.com, a financial/economics blog launched in 2003 that’s become a popular and respected source for independent analysis of markets, investment strategy and the economy. He’s been a journalist focused on finance and economics for more than 20 years. Currently, Picerno is also a writer with Wealth Manager magazine, a trade publication for independent financial advisors with high-net-worth clientele. Previously he was a reporter for Bloomberg and Dow Jones. In addition, his freelance articles have appeared in variety of publications over the years, including a series of real estate stories in Barron’s. Picerno graduated from Rutgers University in 1981 with a B.A. in journalism and history.

Here are my most recent posts

Sorting Out Market Volatility’s Lessons

Asset price volatility is a critical variable for the various flavors of dynamic asset allocation and related strategies. As a core input for developing risk management models, ignoring ...

This Is Not Your Father’s Business Cycle Risk

Keeping interest rates for too low for too long risks another financial crisis, warns the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in its newly published annual report. The concern ...

A Round Of Upbeat News For Jobless Claims & Retail Sales

Retail spending revived last month and new filings for unemployment benefits declined last week, according to this morning’s reports from the government. In both cases the changes ...

The Numbers Behind the Jobs Numbers

Friday’s updates on nonfarm payrolls and personal income & spending beat expectations, but when you look beyond the monthly comparisons it’s not obvious that the numbers have ...

Political Experiments On A $17 Trillion Economy

Another week and still no sign of a resolution to the political stalemate in Washington that’s kept the federal government partially shuttered. This is also the week that faces a ...

Labor Market Trends As Of Labor Day

It’s Labor Day in the US, which means that the financial markets are closed and employment activity is at a minimum on the first Monday of September. The lull is the perfect excuse ...

The Top 5 Behavioral Hazards For Managing Asset Allocation

The technical aspects of designing and managing asset allocation are well known. If anyone’s mystified about the fundamental principles that support and promote enlightened portfolio ...

Looking Into The Future With A Rear-View Mirror

How do you know if the stock market (or any asset class) is overvalued and ripe for a fall? Wait a year or two and you’ll have a definitive answer. Real-time decisions, alas, are ...

Thinking About Investing When Interest Rates Are Rising

The benchmark 10-year Treasury Note yield is near a one-year high. The upward bias of late is a reminder, albeit a mild one at the moment, that the long-anticipated run of higher interest ...

Pondering Emerging Market Equity Allocations

The latest economic news from China suggests that the world’s second-largest economy is stabilizing. As Reuters reports, “factory output rose 9.7 percent in July from a year ...