List/Grid Author Archives:
The misunderstood “mystery method” behind big market blunders
The insightful investor understands mean reversion. It is a mystery concept for most – fancy talk.
I will attempt a commonsense explanation with some relevant examples. In conclusion, ...
What is the Market Message?
After a bad week in U.S. equities and a really bad week in emerging markets, is there a relevant message? If so, does it matter for day traders, swing traders, investors, or all of ...
Can Earnings Growth Propel Stocks Higher?
If you could know one thing about stocks in the coming year, it would be what to expect from corporate earnings. The Q4 2013 reports will provide a preview, with attention starting ...
Will “Good News” be Good for Markets?
Suppose you knew –right now, at the start of the week – that the payroll employment report would show an extreme number. With 200K jobs expected, suppose it were to be 350K? Or ...
An End to the Tapering Obsession?
Over the last two weeks we have had an avalanche of economic data – mostly good news. The market reaction has been mixed, because so much of the “hot money” has a Fed ...
Will Consumers Open Their Wallets?
Over the last few weeks I have highlighted several changing market concerns. We worried about the government shutdown and the debt ceiling. More recently my emphasis has moved from ...
Do Sidelined Investors Face Upside Risk?
Last week I asked whether it was time for the regular year-end rally. This was a pretty good guess about the media focus for last week. With little fresh data on the calendar, it is ...
An End to the Debt Limit Stalemate?
In chess, a stalemate is a drawn game. Chess players study endgames, where small advantages become big wins. Computers have now solved these endgames – all of them! Some require ...
Can Investors Look Past the Washington Logjam?
Is it premature to think ahead, to a time after the budget and debt logjam is broken? Markets are celebrated for anticipatory power. There are already some signs this is happening. ...
What Will the Government Shutdown Cost?
The most important issue facing the US markets and economy is the pending government shutdown. If this expands into a debt default, the implications reach worldwide. As I accurately ...
